Reply To: To mask or not to mask: what will you do after 19 July?

#157639
Tharg
Participant

    Wigwam, maybe it is strange that Boris is using the 28-days parameter. But it is the only stat on deaths that I can see. I reckon, though, that whatever basis used to compile the stats, the overall trend in terms of percentage increase will be similar. I am not a statistician, and maybe I am applying too simple a mathematical approach. However, taking the deaths figure, above, if the 20% increase is applied over three months, we will be seeing over 1,200 deaths per week; 60,000+ p.a. This is an under-estimate since the 20% will increase day-on-day. Look at the exponential rise in the same figures for number infected. No matter how you measure them, all figures show an alarming rate of increase. I really hope that they will level off and decrease. But with further reductions in precautionary measures, I fear it will only get worse.