Like many things in life we have to take a view on these things. If I paid 4500 I would know there is a reasonable chance of a large price drop as was the case with the Kona, if I had paid 999 then the probability of a significant drop in price would be much lower. If past history tells us anything it suggests, on the balance of probability, the ID4 AP´s will be lower next Q whilst the ID3 and Kona very similar to this Q. However, nothing is certain.